Tag Archives: confirmation bias

the science business

It may very well be confirmation bias, which would be telling, a strange loop or bootstrapping kinda phenomenon rather than some real change out there, but the science business hanky panky finally seems to be getting more attention in mainstream media. It’s been a … Continue reading

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urban running

With my new and somewhat enforced focus on urban running, I’m very receptive to anything out there speaking to it. Confirmation bias at work. Salomon’s latest video:

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reblogging the Islamic state through the looking glass

The looking-glass of Western geopolitical involvement in the Middle East is normally a tired and very much inside-the-box perspective if one is interested in the region. However important the power players from outside the region may be in the decisions … Continue reading

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two great stories about messy politics and story telling

Today my digital grazing delivered two great short stories about the mess of politics. The first,  Fanatics, Charlatans, and Economists, a short poignant opinion piece by Jean-Marie Guéhenno, former Under-Secretary-General for Peacekeeping at the United Nations, and currently President and CEO of … Continue reading

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delivery beats content

To me it’s a scary thought, but that only shows how caught up I am in head games, how out of touch with sensuous reality. Whatever we are and do is based on the reality – including our sense of self … Continue reading

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the confirmation bias at work

Way too much writing about running lately. The only real defense I have is that running can be connected to so much else. So a post about running can be a post about anything. Well, not anything, let’s be honest, a … Continue reading

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closing the Egypt chapter, reblogging strangers in the crowd

Still following Egypt’s news but it’s time to officially close the chapter of commenting on it. A final reblog, that substantiates my previous pessimistic impressions of the direction the country has taken, as well as proof of the confirmation bias … Continue reading

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framing

Just read (p. 253) this beautiful anecdote about an English treasure hunter, one E.F. Knight, and his party, who in the late 19th century spent time on a hell hole of an island, far off the coast of Brazil, called Trinidade, unsuccessfully digging … Continue reading

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Egyptian retail corruption as a sign of the times?

Our pattern-seeking species is very good at confusing correlation with causality. Brian Clegg‘s Dice World That I just read on my travel from Cairo to Nijmegen says some memorable things about that. We actually go way beyond correlation as a basis … Continue reading

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can we bootstrap our way out of bias?

My previous post on publication bias only touches the surface of our psychological and societal biases. I find publication bias particularly pernicious because it is a phenomenon sitting right at the centre of social science and could be largely avoided if … Continue reading

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should one run a 100k race unprepared?

Whatever the answer, I did, would do it again, and do not see anything wrong with it. I have to warn you though: unless you are comfortable with the following two mirror image statements of the sentiment that underlies this, … Continue reading

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